Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.047177 0.051317 0.055512 0.060073 0.064885 0.069806 0.075209
2024-10-13 0.041041 0.047184 0.053638 0.060894 0.068799 0.077124 0.086527
2024-10-20 0.035179 0.042629 0.050721 0.060102 0.070614 0.081968 0.095097
2024-10-27 0.031505 0.040039 0.049592 0.060963 0.074011 0.088405 0.105370
2024-11-03 0.027727 0.036932 0.047542 0.060491 0.075681 0.092762 0.113242
2024-11-10 0.024971 0.034746 0.046320 0.060763 0.078041 0.097792 0.121820
2024-11-17 0.022910 0.033198 0.045681 0.061576 0.080917 0.103346 0.130973
2024-11-24 0.022168 0.033206 0.046867 0.064542 0.086340 0.111900 0.143684
2024-12-01 0.019338 0.030295 0.044218 0.062615 0.085698 0.113148 0.147696
2024-12-08 0.017414 0.028424 0.042752 0.062039 0.086604 0.116175 0.153772
2024-12-15 0.015809 0.026856 0.041569 0.061721 0.087752 0.119438 0.160101
2024-12-22 0.015293 0.026768 0.042312 0.063878 0.092016 0.126540 0.171138
2024-12-29 0.014380 0.026076 0.042240 0.064996 0.095032 0.132218 0.180611
2025-01-05 0.013458 0.025304 0.042010 0.065878 0.097739 0.137535 0.189695
2025-01-12 0.012073 0.023728 0.040567 0.065049 0.098168 0.139956 0.195183
2025-01-19 0.011336 0.023096 0.040423 0.065962 0.100871 0.145266 0.204309
2025-01-26 0.010265 0.021844 0.039306 0.065466 0.101654 0.148097 0.210311
2025-02-02 0.009499 0.021028 0.038780 0.065755 0.103464 0.152237 0.217979
2025-02-09 0.008944 0.020517 0.038675 0.066613 0.106027 0.157351 0.226901
2025-02-16 0.008979 0.021028 0.040135 0.069744 0.111729 0.166610 0.241201
2025-02-23 0.007815 0.019325 0.038092 0.067711 0.110263 0.166419 0.243315
2025-03-02 0.007066 0.018302 0.037057 0.067103 0.110730 0.168750 0.248674
2025-03-09 0.006436 0.017443 0.036233 0.066767 0.111548 0.171530 0.254615